Author
Articles by Paul Fanson (Dr. Green and White)
Tom Izzo Retrospective, Part Three: Advanced NCAA Tournament Performance Metrics
There are several advanced ways to measure NCAA Tournament performance, especially relative to expectation
Tom Izzo Retrospective, Part Two: Upsets and Two-Day Preps
When in comes to March Madness, quantitatively, how does Izzo's performance stand up?
Tom Izzo Retrospective, Part One: Big Ten and NCAA tournament dominance
After 31 seasons, let's look back at exactly how dominant Izzo has been during his tenure
Michigan State's path to a Final Four, by the numbers
Dr. Green and White provides a deep dive into the numbers to identify the potential opportunities and pitfalls in the East Regional of the NCAA Tournament
What are the odds of picking a perfect NCAA Tournament bracket?
Many have tried, and failed, to solve this March Madness puzzle. But I believe that I have found the answer.
Dr. Green and White helps you fill out your bracket, 2026 edition: part one, methodology and bracket overview
Early signs point to another quiet opening round.
Michigan State and Big Ten Basketball Odds and Stats Tracker
This is your one-stop shop for all the data that you never knew you needed to understand the Big Ten race and MSU's place in it.
Breaking down the remaining Big Ten Tournament scenarios
The Big Ten Tournament is right around the corner. Find out how all the remaining games will impact the final bracket
After a strong swing through the state of Indiana, March beckons for Michigan State basketball
The Spartans can no longer win a Big Ten regular season title, but wins over Purdue and Indiana have MSU well positioned
Best and worse case scenarios for Michigan State basketball down the stretch
Dr. Green and White breaks down all the possible Big Ten endgame scenarios and how they translate to Big Ten and NCAA Tournament seeding
What would be the impact of an expanded NCAA Tournament?
Rumors are swirling once again about expanding March Madness. While it remains one of the worst ideas ever proposed, what would happen if the NCAA were to expand?
Where does Michigan State go from here after the humbling loss at Wisconsin?
The Big Ten title is now essentially out of reach, but a deep March run is still possible IF the Spartans can get their mojo back on defense.
A wild week of Big Ten action leaves the door cracked for a Spartan repeat
Illinois and Nebraska losses have opened up a new path for MSU to a possible Big Ten title
The annual Michigan State mid-season lull: quantifying the "Tom Izzo Bermuda Triangle"
Does it seem like the Spartans always drop a few games right in the middle of the Big Ten season? It is not just your imagination
After a disastrous night in Minneapolis, where do the Spartans stand in the Big Ten race and beyond?
While back-to-back losses in the heart of the Big Ten race were painful, MSU still has the potential to finish strong
Following the loss to Michigan, the Spartans' path to a repeat has narrowed
Michigan State is now a longshot to repeat as Big Ten Champions, but a path to glory still exists as long as Izzo can right the ship quickly
The Spartans and Wolverines survive, Purdue falls, and the Big Ten picture shifts once again
Michigan's win over Nebraska has forced a likely four-way tie at the top of the conference - find out which teams have the advantage and why
Michigan State surges and Purdue tumbles as the Big Ten race marches on.
A new favorite has emerged in the Big Ten race but the Spartans are poised for even greater achievements
Big Ten and MSU basketball odds update: breaking down the Spartans' path to a Big Ten title
A deep dive into the remainder of the Big Ten season reveals potential paths to glory for each of the five remaining contenders, including MSU.
Do the Michigan State Spartans have the profile of a champion? The data say yes.
Michigan State may currently be a longshot to repeat as Big Ten basketball champions, but the Spartans have the profile to potentially win it all.
Michigan State basketball "four factors" analysis at the midway point
A deep dive into the "four factors of basketball success" can provide insight into MSU's position in the Big Ten race.
How the 2026 Big Ten Shapes Up, Part II: Michigan State’s Road and the Odds
Dr. Green and White's annual Big Ten basketball preview concludes with a look at the Spartans' schedule and all the Big Ten odds fit to calculate
How the 2026 Big Ten Shapes Up, Part I: Michigan State and Strength of Schedule
Join us for an analytical deep dive into the overall Big Ten race and strength of schedule for the 2025-26 season
Bad Betting Advice: 2025 Bowl Season
Football season may be over in East Lansing, but the good Doctor still has thoughts and suggestions regarding the 35 traditional bowl games.
Against All Odds: 2025 Championship Weekend Recap
Dr. Green and White reviews the results of Championship Weekend and provides a preview of the college football playoff
Bad Betting Advice, 2025 Championship Week and Playoff Scenarios
We break down each likely playoff scenario and provide a little friendly wagering recommendations
Against All Odds, Week 14: The Turkey Illusion
This week's results provide several examples as to the fallacy of inductive reasoning
Bad Betting Advice, 2025 Week 14: Run it Back
If it were up to Dr. Green and White, he would run it back in 2026 with Coach Smith
Against All Odds, 2025 Week 13: Decisions
The Michigan State football losing streak has reached eight games, and now it is decision time in East Lansing.
Bad Betting Advice, 2025 Week 13: Heart
Dr. Green and White offers a heart-to-heart explanation of why the Spartans have a chance in Iowa City, which teams are the best shape to reach the postseason, and which bets have the best odds.
Against All Odds, 2025 Week 12: Plans
"And it came to me then that every plan is a tiny prayer to father time."
Bad Betting Advice, 2025 Week 12: Once More, With Feeling
Can Michigan State bring the season back from the dead? I've got a feeling that they just might.
Against All Odds, 2025 Week 11: Battery, 100%
Spartan football fans will hopefully feel recharged after a solid weekend for MSU sports
Bad Betting Advice, 2025 Week 11: Welcomed Distractions
The Spartans might be on a break, but data and analysis never takes a week off
Against All Odds, 2025 Week 10: Superstition
I am not a very superstitious person, but results like Saturday makes me wonder.
Bad Betting Advice, 2025 Week 10: Golden Opportunities
Will the Spartans cash in on this week's golden opportunity, or is it time to discuss that golden parachute?
Against All Odds, 2025 Week Nine: Inches
While football is a game of inches, far too often the Spartans have been off by a mile
Bad Betting Advice, 2025 Week Nine: Civil War
Can the Spartans win enough battles on Saturday to win the war against the Wolverines?
Against All Odds, 2025 Week Eight: The Pursuit of Happiness
I know that in my life and am I glad that I have the liberty to pursue the knowledge that sports analytics offer. What can I say? It's make me happy.
Bad Betting Advice, 2025 Week Eight: Hoosiers
Today, I present to you an underdog story.
Against All Odds, 2025 Week Seven: Dark Clouds
Just like the weather in Michigan, the trajectory of the Spartans' season has changed quickly
Join Me in Just Saying "No" to NCAA Tournament Expansion
There is no compelling reason to change the greatest sporting event of all time
Bad Betting Advice, 2025 Week Seven: One-Hit Wonders
Relax, Spartan fans. Don't worry, be happy!
Against All Odds, 2025 Week Six: 99 Luftballons
There is no reason to go nuclear. Things are not as bad as they seem.
Bad Betting Advice, 2025 Week Six: Road Trip!
Will the game in Lincoln put Michigan State on the fast track or on a detour?
Against All Odds, 2025 Week Five: It's Oh So Quiet
The bye week is oh so still and peaceful... shhhhh!
Bad Betting Advice, 2025 Week Five: Pause
Before mentally fast forwarding to next weekend, take some time to pause, stop, reflect, unwind (rewind?) on the first third of the season.
Against All Odds, 2025 Week Four: The Good, the Bad, and the Ugly
Both the Spartans' performance and last week's betting advice had some bright moments
Bad Betting Advice, 2025 Week Four: MSU Up All Night (with Dr. Green and White)
Can the Spartans defeat USC, injuries, and jetlag all in one trip?
Against All Odds, 2025 Week Three: Tepid
Why does a hot 3-0 start still leave us a bit chilly?