Author
Articles by Paul Fanson (Dr. Green and White)
Bad Betting Advice, Week 6: Home Remedies
Dr. Green and White prescribes a homecoming win for what ails Michigan State, then diagnoses the best Week 6 upsets and bets against the spread.
Against All Odds, Week 5: Misery
Michigan State’s season has taken a frightening turn, but the numbers suggest the Spartans may still have a path out of their misery and into the postseason
Bad Betting Advice, Week 5: Into the Wild
Michigan State ventures into Madison to face Wisconsin, while Dr. Green and White offers a field guide to surviving the wild Week 5 betting landscape.
Against All Odds, Week 4: Stop Me if You Think You’ve Heard This One Before
Another familiar Michigan State loss leaves Dr. Green and White in a melancholy mood as he reviews the Week 4 betting results and updates the Big Ten and national college football picture.
Bad Betting Advice, Week 4: High Fructose
Dr. Green and White serves up a sweet preview of Michigan State-Nebraska, along with computer-projected Week 4 upsets, spread picks, and point-total bets.
Against All Odds, 2026 Week 3: Glasses in Various Stages of Fullness
Michigan State showed signs of progress at Notre Dame, while Dr. Green and White reviews Week 3 betting results and updates the Spartans’ Big Ten, bowl, and playoff odds.
Bad Betting Advice, Week 3: Four Leaf Clover
Dr. Green and White previews Michigan State’s long-shot visit to Notre Dame and uses computer projections to identify the best Week 3 upsets, spread picks, and point-total bets.
Against All Odds, Week 2: Rise
Things are looking up in East Lansing, thanks to Michigan State’s dominant second half against Eastern Michigan. Dr. Green and White reviews Week 2 betting results and updates his Big Ten and national projections.
Bad Betting Advice, 2026 Week 2: Take Two
Dr. Green and White previews Michigan State-Eastern Michigan and uses computer projections to direct you to the best Week 2 upsets, spread picks, and point-total bets
Against All Odds, Week 1: Feeling Strangely Fine
Michigan State’s season-opening win, a historic upset, and encouraging betting results leave Dr. Green and White feeling a little better than just OK
Bad Betting Advice, Week 1: Brand New Day
Dr. Green and White previews Michigan State-Toledo, breaks down the biggest Week 1 games, and identifies the best upset, spread, and point-total bets.
2026 College Football Preview by the Numbers, Part 8: Bad Betting Advice for the Full Season
A data-driven look at 2026 college football futures, win totals and conference races, identifying the wagers with the best projected returns
2026 College Football Preview by the Numbers, Part 7: Projecting the Playoff Bracket
Using preseason simulations, conference title projections and strength-based power ratings, we build a 12-team College Football Playoff bracket for the 2026 season and follow it all the way to a projected national champion.
2026 College Football Preview by the Numbers, Part 6: Group of Six Playoff Race
A math-driven preview of the 2026 Group of Six conference races, projecting title-game matchups, playoff odds, and the teams most likely to claim the final automatic College Football Playoff bid.
2026 College Football Preview by the Numbers, Part 5: The SEC, Big 12, and ACC Races
A numbers-driven look at the SEC, Big 12 and ACC title races, including projected conference champions, key games, playoff odds, and Notre Dame’s path to the postseason.
2026 College Football Preview by the Numbers, Part 4: Forecasting the Big Ten Race
A numbers-driven look at the Big Ten contenders, chaos scenarios, and upset paths that could shape the road to Indianapolis.
2026 College Football Preview by the Numbers, Part 3: Big Ten Odds and Strength of Schedule
A data-driven breakdown of Big Ten schedule strength, projected win totals, and the teams most likely to contend in 2026.
2026 College Football Preview by the Numbers, Part 2: Projecting Michigan State's 2026 Season
Breaking down every game on Michigan State's 2026 schedule to uncover the most realistic paths to six wins and bowl eligibility.
2026 College Football Preview by the Numbers: Part 1 — What 2025 Taught Us
Dr. Green and White uses math, statistics, and preseason projections to look back at 2025 and identify what it may tell us about the 2026 college football season.
Tom Izzo Retrospective, Part Three: Advanced NCAA Tournament Performance Metrics
There are several advanced ways to measure NCAA Tournament performance, especially relative to expectation
Tom Izzo Retrospective, Part Two: Upsets and Two-Day Preps
When in comes to March Madness, quantitatively, how does Izzo's performance stand up?
Tom Izzo Retrospective, Part One: Big Ten and NCAA tournament dominance
After 31 seasons, let's look back at exactly how dominant Izzo has been during his tenure
Michigan State's path to a Final Four, by the numbers
Dr. Green and White provides a deep dive into the numbers to identify the potential opportunities and pitfalls in the East Regional of the NCAA Tournament
What are the odds of picking a perfect NCAA Tournament bracket?
Many have tried, and failed, to solve this March Madness puzzle. But I believe that I have found the answer.
Dr. Green and White helps you fill out your bracket, 2026 edition: part one, methodology and bracket overview
Early signs point to another quiet opening round.
Michigan State and Big Ten Basketball Odds and Stats Tracker
This is your one-stop shop for all the data that you never knew you needed to understand the Big Ten race and MSU's place in it.
Breaking down the remaining Big Ten Tournament scenarios
The Big Ten Tournament is right around the corner. Find out how all the remaining games will impact the final bracket
After a strong swing through the state of Indiana, March beckons for Michigan State basketball
The Spartans can no longer win a Big Ten regular season title, but wins over Purdue and Indiana have MSU well positioned
Best and worse case scenarios for Michigan State basketball down the stretch
Dr. Green and White breaks down all the possible Big Ten endgame scenarios and how they translate to Big Ten and NCAA Tournament seeding
What would be the impact of an expanded NCAA Tournament?
Rumors are swirling once again about expanding March Madness. While it remains one of the worst ideas ever proposed, what would happen if the NCAA were to expand?
Where does Michigan State go from here after the humbling loss at Wisconsin?
The Big Ten title is now essentially out of reach, but a deep March run is still possible IF the Spartans can get their mojo back on defense.
A wild week of Big Ten action leaves the door cracked for a Spartan repeat
Illinois and Nebraska losses have opened up a new path for MSU to a possible Big Ten title
The annual Michigan State mid-season lull: quantifying the "Tom Izzo Bermuda Triangle"
Does it seem like the Spartans always drop a few games right in the middle of the Big Ten season? It is not just your imagination
After a disastrous night in Minneapolis, where do the Spartans stand in the Big Ten race and beyond?
While back-to-back losses in the heart of the Big Ten race were painful, MSU still has the potential to finish strong
Following the loss to Michigan, the Spartans' path to a repeat has narrowed
Michigan State is now a longshot to repeat as Big Ten Champions, but a path to glory still exists as long as Izzo can right the ship quickly
The Spartans and Wolverines survive, Purdue falls, and the Big Ten picture shifts once again
Michigan's win over Nebraska has forced a likely four-way tie at the top of the conference - find out which teams have the advantage and why
Michigan State surges and Purdue tumbles as the Big Ten race marches on.
A new favorite has emerged in the Big Ten race but the Spartans are poised for even greater achievements
Big Ten and MSU basketball odds update: breaking down the Spartans' path to a Big Ten title
A deep dive into the remainder of the Big Ten season reveals potential paths to glory for each of the five remaining contenders, including MSU.
Do the Michigan State Spartans have the profile of a champion? The data say yes.
Michigan State may currently be a longshot to repeat as Big Ten basketball champions, but the Spartans have the profile to potentially win it all.
Michigan State basketball "four factors" analysis at the midway point
A deep dive into the "four factors of basketball success" can provide insight into MSU's position in the Big Ten race.
How the 2026 Big Ten Shapes Up, Part II: Michigan State’s Road and the Odds
Dr. Green and White's annual Big Ten basketball preview concludes with a look at the Spartans' schedule and all the Big Ten odds fit to calculate
How the 2026 Big Ten Shapes Up, Part I: Michigan State and Strength of Schedule
Join us for an analytical deep dive into the overall Big Ten race and strength of schedule for the 2025-26 season
Bad Betting Advice: 2025 Bowl Season
Football season may be over in East Lansing, but the good Doctor still has thoughts and suggestions regarding the 35 traditional bowl games.
Against All Odds: 2025 Championship Weekend Recap
Dr. Green and White reviews the results of Championship Weekend and provides a preview of the college football playoff
Bad Betting Advice, 2025 Championship Week and Playoff Scenarios
We break down each likely playoff scenario and provide a little friendly wagering recommendations
Against All Odds, Week 14: The Turkey Illusion
This week's results provide several examples as to the fallacy of inductive reasoning
Bad Betting Advice, 2025 Week 14: Run it Back
If it were up to Dr. Green and White, he would run it back in 2026 with Coach Smith
Against All Odds, 2025 Week 13: Decisions
The Michigan State football losing streak has reached eight games, and now it is decision time in East Lansing.
Bad Betting Advice, 2025 Week 13: Heart
Dr. Green and White offers a heart-to-heart explanation of why the Spartans have a chance in Iowa City, which teams are the best shape to reach the postseason, and which bets have the best odds.
Join Me in Just Saying "No" to NCAA Tournament Expansion
There is no compelling reason to change the greatest sporting event of all time